Company Profile · Industrials

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock

SPCX · US
Exchange
US
Country
USA
IPO date
Jun 12, 2026
Employees
22,000
Current Price
$113.5
Live · Jul 27, 2026
Fair Buy
≤ $25
Margin-of-safety entry
Baillie Growth Score
48/100
Weak
Intrinsic Value · Three-Tier Range Current price $113.5 Live · Above the optimistic ceiling · future growth overdrawn

Composite valuation range · conservative $20–$25 / fair $39–$53 / optimistic $70–$90. At $113.5, Above the optimistic ceiling · future growth overdrawn.

At publication $124.11 (Jul 21, 2026)

Market cap$2.76T
Revenue (TTM)$19.3B
EBITDA$3.95B
Profit margin-45%
ROE0%
Forward P/E0
EPS-$0.67
52-week range$135.00 – $192.95

Data from EODHD, shown in the reporting currency; for reference only, not investment advice.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. The company's Connectivity segment operates a high-speed, low-latency broadband network powered by various Starlink satellites in low-earth orbit, delivering connectivity to various consumer, enterprise, and government customers through its Starlink offering. Its Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space. It offers launch services for the deployment of payloads to intended orbits for commercial and government customers utilizing Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy; and launch and development for the development of spacecraft and the provision of launch and mission services for government agency space programs utilizing Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Starship, and Dragon. The company's AI segment operates a vertically integrated AI platform spanning a frontier LLM Grok; AI solutions for consumer and enterprise customers; X, a real-time information, entertainment, and free speech platform; and AI computational infrastructure. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Starbase, Texas.

History

Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) was founded in 2002 to reduce the cost of space access and make humanity multiplanetary. It evolved from rockets to reusable launch and satellite constellations, winning a $1.6 billion NASA ISS resupply contract in 2008 and a $2.89 billion NASA lunar lander contract in 2021. As a private company it had no public stock; secondary valuations rose from roughly $150 billion at end-2023 to about $400 billion at end-2025. It merged with xAI at a $1.25 trillion valuation in February 2026 and filed an S-1 on May 20, 2026 covering three segments—Space, Connectivity and AI—targeting roughly $1.75 trillion.

Industry position

SpaceX is the leading commercial space and satellite-connectivity operator, with no directly comparable company because it spans launch, crewed flight, satellite internet, national-security work and AI. As of end-March 2026 it had completed about 620 orbital launches at over 99% mission success and operated roughly 9,600–10,000 satellites; its Starlink network served about 10.3 million users across 164 countries. Falcon 9 carried 69% of all small satellites launched globally in 2020–2024. Its advantages stem from reusability, vertical integration, network scale and deep government ties with NASA and the U.S. Space Force.

48/100 Avoid SpaceX: A Strategically Brilliant Platform Wrapped in a Still-Expensive Stock SpaceX is a newly public, vertically integrated space and AI conglomerate built on three very different businesses: a mature $11.4 billion Starlink broadband franchise that funds the group, a still-loss-making Space/Starship launch arm, and an AI segment (merged with xAI in February 2026) that lost $6.36 billion in 2025 alone. Since its record $75 billion IPO priced the company near $1.77 trillion, the stock has fallen roughly 45% to $124.11, yet still trades near 87x sales while Elon Musk retains 85.1% of voting power under an unusually investor-unfriendly governance structure. Rating Avoid: a genuinely rare platform, but a public price that still assumes flawless execution across Starship, AI, and an August lock-up event with no real margin of safety. Space Exploration Technologies Corp.SPCX · USSpace & Satellite CommunicationsJul 21, 2026 54/100 Watch SpaceX: A Deep-Dive Research Report A three-part asset: a best-in-class commercial space business, the Starlink cash engine, and an xAI platform option. 2025 revenue reached $18.67 billion, but AI lost $6.36 billion and Q1 capex hit $10.1 billion; the $1.75 trillion IPO target prices the future far too early, so we watch the $0.95–1.20 trillion range. Rating Watch: a top-tier asset saddled with excessive expectations and extremely weak governance. SpaceX (post-xAI merger entity)SPCX · USSpace & Satellite CommunicationsMay 24, 2026 Watch SpaceX Deep-Value Research Report Great asset, bad price: the core launch business and Starlink moat are exceptionally strong, but the IPO entity now folds in cash-burning AI/X, with a 2025 net loss of 4.94 billion dollars. The current 1.25–1.75 trillion dollar reference valuation sits far above the upper bound of intrinsic value, leaving almost no margin of safety. Rating Watch: a superb business priced for a near-perfect future, not a margin-of-safety opportunity. SpaceX (including the post-merger entity with xAI)SPCX · USSpace & Satellite CommunicationsMay 21, 2026 Watch SpaceX: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective A superb business at a price that is far from cheap: a $1.25-1.75 trillion valuation already prices in Starship's long-term economics and industrial dominance. The merger with xAI raises the capital-spending burden and governance risk, and a dual-class structure leaves minority shareholders with little say over capital allocation. Rating Watch: a great company at a price that demands a flawless future. SpaceX (including the post-merger entity with xAI)SPCX · USSpace & Satellite CommunicationsMay 17, 2026